Saturday, August 13, 2005

The Eleventh Hour reports that, according to the Bay Area Center for Voting Research, out of 237 cities with populations over 100,000, Chicago is the 17th "most liberal." Naperville is the 45th most conservative, and Springfield, the 59th. The fact that both "liberal" and "conservative" lists are included is something of a tautology, because the rankings are the same, merely inverted. (Thus, a city in the "bottom half" of a the "conservative" list is more "liberal" than it is "conservative," and vice versa.) Had they created a subcategory of cities with populations of over one million, Chicago would, of course, have ranked higher on the "liberal" list(on which NYC was 21 and Los Angeles was 37.)
BACVR provides no documentation of its methodology. Were these results culled from election data? If so, a single election, or an average of several? One would hope that the races were presidential and that, thus, the variable of the candidates had been controlled. Some states(i.e. Louisiana) have run-offs and not the conventional primaries and generals, so they could not have been derived from the percents taking a particular ballot(i.e. Democrat or Republican).


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